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Prediction Market to assess science reproducibility?

PostPosted: Tue Jul 02, 2013 9:42 am
by Mark L.
Not really career related, but do you think it would be a good idea to use a prediction market (similar to Intrade) to evaluate the reproducibility of scientific discoveries? The Reproducibility Initiative is a nice idea, but who is going to pay for all of that redundant experimental work? If a prediction market was created, users could nominate experiments and bet/gamble on whether an independent lab will be able to reproduce the result. The bid-ask spread could cover the contract research costs.